Chanakya

Jainee’s Coffee Can Portfolio on 9 February 2026

Jainee’s Coffee Can Portfolio on 9 February 2026

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Madhya Bharat Agro Products Ltd – Coffee Can Snapshot

Madhya Bharat Agro Products Ltd (MBAPL), part of the Ostwal Group, is engaged in the manufacturing of fertilisers and chemical products with a strong focus on phosphatic fertilisers. The company operates integrated facilities covering fertilisers, sulphuric acid, phosphoric acid, and rock phosphate processing, giving it meaningful cost and supply-chain advantages.


Key Points

Market Position

MBAPL is a strong regional fertiliser player with an integrated phosphatic fertiliser model. Its focus on SSP, DAP/NPK complexes, and backward integration into key chemicals positions it well to benefit from rising fertiliser demand, government support to agriculture, and improving farm economics.


Business Overview

MBAPL primarily caters to agricultural input demand, with its flagship brands ‘Annadata’ (SSP) and ‘Bharat’ (NPK/DAP) enjoying regional recall. The company’s integrated manufacturing structure allows it to control raw material availability, improve margins, and reduce volatility during commodity cycles.


Product Portfolio & Capacity

Fertilisers

  • SSP (Single Super Phosphate): 240,000 MTPA

  • DAP / NPK Complexes: 240,000 MTPA
    (Expansion planned to 570,000 MTPA by FY27)

  • Organic Fertilisers: 60,000 MTPA

Chemicals

  • Sulphuric Acid: 165,000 MTPA
    (Expansion to 363,000 MTPA)

  • Phosphoric Acid: 49,500 MTPA
    (Expansion to 181,500 MTPA)

  • Beneficiated Rock Phosphate (BRP): 189,000 MTPA


Manufacturing Facilities

The company operates manufacturing plants at Sagar (Madhya Pradesh) with units located at Rajoua and Banda. Facilities are certified with ISO 9001:2015 and NABL – ISO/IEC 17025:2017, ensuring quality control and process reliability.


Coffee Can Matrix – Madhya Bharat Agro Products Ltd

Parameter Data / Interpretation
CMP (Rs.) 442.20
P/E Ratio 37.02 → Mid-to-premium valuation reflecting strong growth phase
Quarterly Net Profit (Rs. Cr.) 31.76
Quarterly Profit Growth (%) 77.43% → Sharp earnings acceleration
Quarterly Sales (Rs. Cr.) 612.39
Quarterly Sales Growth (%) 115.84% → Exceptional topline expansion
Sales CAGR (5 Years) 52.32% → Very strong long-term revenue compounding
Profit CAGR (5 Years) 31.10% → Healthy profit growth, though lower than sales due to cyclical margins
ROCE (%) 18.00% → Reasonable capital efficiency for a fertiliser & chemicals business
All-Time High (Rs.) 469.70
RSI 67.29 → Strong momentum, nearing overbought zone
1-Week Return (%) 7.55% → Strong short-term price action
MACD 5.42
MACD (Previous) 3.75 → Rising MACD confirms bullish momentum
Volume Trend Volumes well above 1-month average (1D: 3.43 lakh vs 1M: 1.65 lakh) → strong accumulation

Coffee Can Verdict – Madhya Bharat Agro Products Ltd

👍 Positives (Coffee Can Strengths)

✔ Strong agriculture tailwinds: Structural demand for fertilisers supported by food security focus and government policies
✔ Integrated operations: Backward integration into acids and rock phosphate improves cost control and margin stability
✔ High growth phase: Exceptional quarterly and 5-year sales growth indicates capacity-led expansion
✔ Capacity expansion visibility: Planned fertiliser and chemical expansions provide multi-year growth runway
✔ Improving market recognition: Rising volumes suggest growing institutional and informed investor interest


⚠️ Considerations (Coffee Can Risks)

✖ Cyclical business: Fertiliser margins are linked to commodity prices, subsidies, and input cost volatility
✖ Mid-cap valuation risk: P/E ~37 leaves limited margin of safety if growth normalises
✖ ROCE still moderate: Capital efficiency needs sustained improvement post expansion
✖ Policy dependency: Changes in fertiliser subsidy framework can impact profitability
✖ Stock near all-time high: Short-term consolidation or volatility possible


Chanakya’s Coffee Can Conclusion

Madhya Bharat Agro Products Ltd fits the Coffee Can framework as a high-growth agri-input compounder, backed by strong capacity expansion, integrated manufacturing, and favourable agricultural demand trends. The company is transitioning from a regional fertiliser player to a scaled phosphatic fertiliser and chemicals manufacturer.

While the business is cyclical by nature and valuations are no longer cheap, MBAPL’s strong sales compounding, improving profit trajectory, and expansion-led visibility make it an attractive long-term study candidate.

For Coffee Can investors, this is not a short-term trade, but a business to be tracked and accumulated on meaningful corrections, with close monitoring of margins, ROCE improvement, subsidy regime, and execution of capacity expansions.

Coffee Can approach: Accumulate on dips, remain patient through cycles, and allow earnings growth to play out over time.

For long-term study only. Not a buy/sell recommendation.

 

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