Updated on 14 March 2026 @ 9.00 pm
Nifty – Technical Setup
Nifty closed at 23,151.10 after a sharp decline of 5.3% in the last week and nearly 10.8% in the past month, indicating heavy profit booking and risk-off sentiment in the market. Both short-term and medium-term trends remain bearish, although the long-term trend is still bullish, suggesting the correction may be part of a broader consolidation phase.
Momentum indicators now show the index entering deep oversold territory, which often leads to short-covering rallies.
| Indicator | Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 24.15 | Extremely oversold |
| Stochastics | 3.79 | Panic selling |
| Williams %R | -98.53 | Capitulation phase |
| CCI | -145.96 | Extreme downside exhaustion |
| ADX | 32.47 | Strong trend strength |
The index is trading close to S1 support at 23,011, while the lower Bollinger band near 23,364 shows the market is stretched on the downside.
Option Chain Analysis
| Strike | Call OI | Put OI | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23050 | Moderate | High | Immediate support |
| 23100 | High | Very High | Strong put writers |
| 23150 | High | High | Transition zone |
| 23200 | Highest Call OI | Highest Put OI | Major pivot strike |
| 23250 | Moderate | Moderate | Resistance |
| 23300 | Moderate | Moderate | Upside trigger |
| 23350 | Moderate | Low | Breakout zone |
Key observations:
-
Massive options positioning at 23,200 strike
-
Heavy put writing between 23,050 – 23,200
-
PCR above 1 near support
This suggests strong support near 23,000–23,100 and a high probability of relief rally if the index holds above this zone.
Key Technical Levels
| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| Pivot | 23,251 |
| Resistance 1 | 23,391 |
| Resistance 2 | 23,632 |
| Support 1 | 23,011 |
| Support 2 | 22,871 |
Preferred Options Strategy
Considering the deep oversold indicators and strong put writing, call buying offers better risk-reward for a bounce trade.
| Instrument | Nifty 23200 CE |
|---|---|
| Strategy | Oversold Bounce Call Buy |
| Buy Zone | Rs. 230 – Rs. 250 |
| Stop Loss | Rs. 165 |
| Target 1 | Rs. 360 |
| Target 2 | Rs. 480 |
Reason:
-
Extremely oversold momentum indicators
-
Put writers active near 23,100–23,200
-
Short covering likely if index crosses pivot
Aggressive Trade
| Instrument | Nifty 23300 CE |
|---|---|
| Buy Zone | Rs. 180 – Rs. 200 |
| Stop Loss | Rs. 120 |
| Target | Rs. 350 – Rs. 480 |
Chanakya Technical View
Nifty has entered a panic oversold zone, with RSI near 24 and stochastic indicators below 5, conditions that historically trigger sharp relief rallies. Option chain data also shows aggressive put writing near the 23,100–23,200 region, indicating traders are building support positions.
If Nifty sustains above 23,000, a short-covering rally toward 23,400–23,650 is possible. Hence, call buying strategies appear more profitable than put buying at current levels.
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