Chanakya

Reliance Industries – Analysis for 5 Mar

Reliance Industries Technical outlook

 

Updated on 4 March 2026 9.00 PM IST 

CMP Rs. 1345.00


Technical Structure

Reliance Industries is currently undergoing a corrective phase within a broader bullish structure. The stock has declined nearly 5.87% in the last week and 14.19% over the past three months, indicating sustained selling pressure after a prolonged uptrend earlier in the year.

The short-term trend (5 days) has turned bearish, while the medium-term (21 days) and long-term (63 days) trends remain bullish, suggesting that the current weakness may represent a correction within a larger structural trend.

The stock is trading below all major moving averages, which confirms near-term technical weakness:

20DMA: 1424.88
34DMA: 1416.27
50DMA: 1454.24
89DMA: 1485.81
200DMA: 1449.75

This alignment indicates that sellers currently dominate the short-term trend. The 200DMA near Rs. 1450 now becomes a major resistance zone, and the stock needs a decisive move above this level to restore medium-term bullish momentum.

Price is also trading below the lower Bollinger Band (1360.71), reflecting strong downward momentum and potential short-term oversold conditions.


Momentum & Indicator Analysis

Momentum indicators confirm the prevailing bearish pressure, though several oscillators are approaching oversold territory.

RSI at 33.21 is close to the oversold zone, indicating weakening momentum but also hinting at a potential technical bounce.

Stochastics (%K 23.53 / %D 17.13) show the stock entering oversold territory, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback rally.

StochRSI at 0.00 indicates extreme short-term oversold conditions, often associated with technical rebounds.

Williams %R at -77.11 also signals oversold positioning.

CCI at -234.78 is deeply oversold, reflecting aggressive selling pressure in recent sessions.

The MACD (-19.94 vs Signal -13.29) remains negative with a widening histogram (-6.66), confirming continuation of the bearish trend.

ADX at 25.74 suggests that the downward trend is gaining strength. Additionally, DMI- (37.12) is significantly higher than DMI+ (10.65), confirming strong seller dominance.

Momentum reading at -45.4 further supports the current corrective trend.

Overall structure: Bearish momentum with oversold conditions developing.


Volatility & Price Behaviour

ATR at 31.58 indicates elevated volatility, suggesting that price swings may remain wide in the near term.

The Parabolic SAR at 1467.09 remains well above the current price, confirming that the prevailing trend remains downward.

The stock is currently trading slightly above the Pivot Point at Rs. 1334.93, indicating that the immediate trading bias remains fragile.

If the stock fails to sustain above the pivot level, further downside could emerge toward key support zones.


Key Levels

Immediate Resistance: 1362 – 1380 zone
Major Resistance: 1425 – 1450 zone

Immediate Support: 1317
Strong Positional Support: 1289 – 1300 zone


Trend Expectation

Reliance Industries remains under short-term selling pressure, but the presence of deeply oversold indicators suggests the possibility of a technical pullback rally.

A sustained move above Rs. 1360–1380 could trigger short-covering toward 1420–1450 levels.

However, failure to hold above the Rs. 1335 pivot zone may extend the decline toward Rs. 1317 and Rs. 1290 support levels.


Technical View

The stock is currently in a corrective phase after an extended rally, with momentum indicators signaling exhaustion of the recent selling wave.

While the broader medium-term structure remains constructive, the near-term trend will remain weak unless the stock reclaims the Rs. 1400–1425 resistance band.

Traders should watch the Rs. 1335 pivot level closely, as sustained trading above this zone could trigger a relief rally, while a breakdown may deepen the correction.

 
 
 



Consolidated Figures in Rs. Crores / View Standalone
                           

 

Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24 Jun-24 Sep-24 Dec-24 Mar-25 Jun-25
Sales + 218,855 229,409 216,737 212,834 207,559 231,886 225,086 236,533 231,784 231,535 239,986 261,388 243,632
Expenses + 181,157 198,438 181,728 174,478 169,466 190,918 184,430 194,017 193,019 192,477 196,197 217,556 200,727
Operating Profit 37,698 30,971 35,009 38,356 38,093 40,968 40,656 42,516 38,765 39,058 43,789 43,832 42,905
OPM % 17% 14% 16% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 18% 17% 18%
Other Income + 2,275 3,656 3,377 2,996 3,813 3,841 3,869 4,534 3,983 4,876 4,214 4,905 15,119
Interest 3,997 4,554 5,201 5,819 5,837 5,731 5,789 5,761 5,918 6,017 6,179 6,155 7,036
Depreciation 8,942 9,726 10,183 11,452 11,775 12,585 12,903 13,569 13,596 12,880 13,181 13,479 13,842
Profit before tax 27,034 20,347 23,002 24,081 24,294 26,493 25,833 27,720 23,234 25,037 28,643 29,103 37,146
Tax % 28% 24% 23% 11% 25% 25% 25% 24% 25% 24% 24% 23% 17%
Net Profit + 19,443 15,512 17,806 21,327 18,258 19,878 19,641 21,243 17,445 19,323 21,930 22,611 30,783
EPS in Rs 13.27 10.09 11.67 14.26 11.83 12.85 12.76 14.01 11.19 12.24 13.7 14.34 19.95

Share price of Reliance

Quicklinks

Q1. What is the current share price of Reliance Industries?

The share price of Reliance Industries changes throughout market hours. Investors can track live prices on NSE and BSE or refer to updated data on Chanakyanipothi.com.

Q2. What is the 52-week high and low of Reliance Industries?

Reliance shares generally trade within a wide range. The 52-week high and low levels provide insight into the stock’s volatility and long-term trend.

Q3. Is Reliance Industries a good stock for long-term investment?

Reliance is considered one of India’s strongest companies with presence in telecom, retail, energy, and green businesses. Many investors hold it for the long term, but one should always review valuations and financials before investing.

Q4. What factors influence the share price of Reliance Industries?

Reliance’s share price is affected by crude oil trends, telecom performance (Jio), retail growth, quarterly earnings, new project announcements, and overall market sentiment.