Chanakya

Reliance Industries – Analysis for 3 Mar

Reliance Industries Technical outlook

 

Updated on 2 March 2026 9.00 PM IST 

CMP Rs. 1358.00

Technical Structure

Reliance Industries is currently under short-term corrective pressure within a broader medium- to long-term bullish framework. While the 21-day and 63-day trend structures remain bullish, the short-term (5 days) trend has turned bearish, indicating immediate weakness.

The stock is trading below all major moving averages:

20DMA: 1429.48
34DMA: 1419.44
50DMA: 1458.65
89DMA: 1487.01
200DMA: 1450.31

This negative alignment confirms that price is in a corrective phase. The stock has declined 13.14% over the last three months and is now significantly off its 52-week high of Rs. 1611.80, though still well above the 52-week low of Rs. 1114.85.

Price is trading below the Pivot Point (1359.37) and very close to the Lower Bollinger Band (1376.70), suggesting near-term pressure but also possible short-term exhaustion.

Momentum & Indicator Analysis

Momentum indicators clearly reflect oversold conditions.

RSI at 35.11 indicates weak momentum, approaching oversold territory.
Stochastics (%K 13.98 / %D 18.45) confirm deep oversold positioning.
StochRSI (%K 0.00) reflects extreme short-term exhaustion.
CCI at -240.13 and Williams %R at -87.45 indicate heavily stretched downside levels.

MACD remains negative (-16.06 vs Signal -11.62) with a widening negative histogram (-4.43), showing that downside momentum is still active.

ADX at 23.46 suggests a moderate trend environment. Importantly, DMI- (33.14) is sharply above DMI+ (12.04), confirming seller dominance in the current structure.

Overall, momentum is weak and bearish, but indicators are deeply oversold — increasing probability of a technical rebound attempt.

Volatility & Price Behaviour

ATR at 30.09 suggests moderate volatility, implying that rebound or breakdown moves could be sharp.

Parabolic SAR at 1478.01 remains significantly above current price, reinforcing short-term corrective bias.

Price action around S1 (1340.13) and S2 (1322.27) becomes crucial. Sustained trade below 1340 could accelerate selling pressure toward 1320–1285 levels.

Key Levels for 3 March 2026

Immediate Resistance: 1377 – 1396 zone (R1 + Camarilla cluster)
Major Resistance: 1419 – 1450 band (Fibonacci + 20DMA + 200DMA cluster)

Immediate Support: 1340
Strong Positional Support: 1322 – 1285 region

Trend Expectation

The near-term bias remains corrective as long as price sustains below 1396–1420 resistance cluster.

However, extreme oversold oscillators suggest that a short-covering bounce toward 1380–1415 cannot be ruled out. Recovery strength will only improve if the stock reclaims 1429 (20DMA zone).

A breakdown below 1340 may open downside toward 1322 and potentially 1285 levels.

4–6 Week Positional Outlook (Power Calls View)

Recovery Scenario Target Zone: 1419 – 1458
Extended Reversal Target: 1487+

Breakdown Scenario: Sustained trade below 1322 may drag price toward 1285–1250 region.

Paresh Gordhandas Technical View of Reliance Industries

Reliance Industries is in a clear corrective phase with sellers maintaining short-term control. Momentum indicators reflect deep oversold conditions, which increases probability of a technical bounce, but structural strength will only return after reclaiming the 1420–1450 resistance cluster.

As long as the stock holds above the 1320–1340 support band, the broader medium-term structure remains intact, though near-term volatility and range-bound behaviour are likely.

 



Consolidated Figures in Rs. Crores / View Standalone
                           

 

Jun-22 Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23 Sep-23 Dec-23 Mar-24 Jun-24 Sep-24 Dec-24 Mar-25 Jun-25
Sales + 218,855 229,409 216,737 212,834 207,559 231,886 225,086 236,533 231,784 231,535 239,986 261,388 243,632
Expenses + 181,157 198,438 181,728 174,478 169,466 190,918 184,430 194,017 193,019 192,477 196,197 217,556 200,727
Operating Profit 37,698 30,971 35,009 38,356 38,093 40,968 40,656 42,516 38,765 39,058 43,789 43,832 42,905
OPM % 17% 14% 16% 18% 18% 18% 18% 18% 17% 17% 18% 17% 18%
Other Income + 2,275 3,656 3,377 2,996 3,813 3,841 3,869 4,534 3,983 4,876 4,214 4,905 15,119
Interest 3,997 4,554 5,201 5,819 5,837 5,731 5,789 5,761 5,918 6,017 6,179 6,155 7,036
Depreciation 8,942 9,726 10,183 11,452 11,775 12,585 12,903 13,569 13,596 12,880 13,181 13,479 13,842
Profit before tax 27,034 20,347 23,002 24,081 24,294 26,493 25,833 27,720 23,234 25,037 28,643 29,103 37,146
Tax % 28% 24% 23% 11% 25% 25% 25% 24% 25% 24% 24% 23% 17%
Net Profit + 19,443 15,512 17,806 21,327 18,258 19,878 19,641 21,243 17,445 19,323 21,930 22,611 30,783
EPS in Rs 13.27 10.09 11.67 14.26 11.83 12.85 12.76 14.01 11.19 12.24 13.7 14.34 19.95

Share price of Reliance

Quicklinks

Q1. What is the current share price of Reliance Industries?

The share price of Reliance Industries changes throughout market hours. Investors can track live prices on NSE and BSE or refer to updated data on Chanakyanipothi.com.

Q2. What is the 52-week high and low of Reliance Industries?

Reliance shares generally trade within a wide range. The 52-week high and low levels provide insight into the stock’s volatility and long-term trend.

Q3. Is Reliance Industries a good stock for long-term investment?

Reliance is considered one of India’s strongest companies with presence in telecom, retail, energy, and green businesses. Many investors hold it for the long term, but one should always review valuations and financials before investing.

Q4. What factors influence the share price of Reliance Industries?

Reliance’s share price is affected by crude oil trends, telecom performance (Jio), retail growth, quarterly earnings, new project announcements, and overall market sentiment.