Nifty Technical View by Chanakya

Nifty Technical View for Wednesday, 17 December

by Paresh Gordhandas, CA & Research Analyst

🕗 Last Update: 16 December 2025, 8.00 PM

Nifty – Technical Analysis (Based on EOD data: 16 Dec 2025)

Nifty closed at 15,42x zone (as per provided data) with a 0.89% decline, indicating short-term profit booking after a strong up-move. Despite the recent dip, the overall market structure remains bullish, supported by strength across short-, medium- and long-term trends.


Trend Structure

All three trend readings remain BULLISH, confirming that the recent weakness is corrective in nature rather than trend-changing. The index has delivered double-digit gains over the last three months and strong one-year returns, underlining the dominance of higher-timeframe bulls.


Moving Averages & Support Zone

Nifty is currently trading near the 20-day SMA (1546) and marginally above the 20-day EMA (1537), which is acting as an immediate support zone.

  • The 34-day and 50-day averages around 1520–1500 form a strong demand belt.

  • The rising 200-day average near 1405–1425 confirms the long-term bullish trend remains intact.

As long as Nifty holds above the 1520–1500 zone, the broader uptrend is safe.


Momentum & Oscillators

  • RSI at 55.67 reflects a neutral-to-positive bias, with no overbought stress.

  • MACD remains positive, though the negative histogram suggests short-term loss of momentum and consolidation.

  • ADX at 27.35 signals a healthy trend, while the near-equal DMI+ and DMI− indicate range-bound action in the near term.

  • CCI (-24.87) and Williams %R (-61) point to mild cooling, not a breakdown.


Volatility & Band Analysis

Nifty is hovering around the middle Bollinger Band (1546) with the lower band placed near 1520. This setup typically supports sideways-to-positive consolidation before the next directional move.
The Parabolic SAR at 1562.86 is acting as an immediate upside hurdle.


Key Levels to Watch

Supports:

  • Immediate: 1536–1531

  • Strong: 1520–1505

Resistances:

  • Immediate: 1557–1563

  • Higher: 1570–1583

A decisive close above 1563 can reignite upside momentum towards 1570–1585, while a breakdown below 1520 could extend the corrective phase, though still within a bullish structure.


Outlook

Nifty remains in a buy-on-dips zone, with the current phase likely to be time-wise consolidation rather than a deep correction. As long as the index sustains above 1520–1500, the medium- to long-term bullish outlook stays intact. Fresh strength is expected once 1560+ levels are reclaimed.


 

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What is the best indicator to trade Nifty?

A combination of RSI, MACD, and support-resistance levels work best for Nifty. RSI shows momentum, while MACD helps confirm trend reversals or continuation.

How do I identify support and resistance for Nifty?

Support and resistance levels are derived from previous highs and lows, Fibonacci levels, and price-action zones. These help in setting entry and exit points.

Is it safe to trade Nifty during high volatility?

During high volatility, Nifty can offer strong intraday moves but carries higher risk. Use tighter stop-losses and smaller positions to manage risk effectively.

What is a good RSI level to buy Nifty?

An RSI between 40 and 60 often indicates a good zone to accumulate if other indicators support the trend. RSI above 70 could mean overbought, while below 30 is oversold

How do I use MACD in Nifty trading?

MACD helps identify trend strength. A bullish crossover (MACD line above signal line) suggests upward momentum, while a bearish crossover may indicate a possible decline.

Can I trade Nifty only based on technical analysis?

Yes, many traders use pure technical analysis for Nifty. However, combining it with macroeconomic news, global market trends, and FII/DII activity gives better accuracy.