March 9, 2025
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75% Chance of Recession Within the Next Three Months
As the US economy signals signs of a potential slowdown, veteran strategist Peter Berezin from BCA Research is sounding the alarm, predicting a 75% likelihood of a recession within the next three months, according to a recent report.
Economic Impact Underestimated
Berezin argues that traditional economic forecasts have downplayed the significant impact of ongoing trade wars and recent budget cuts imposed by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). He warned that “growth will slow more than expected,” as reported by Yahoo Finance.
The ‘Lone Bear’ on Wall Street
While most Wall Street analysts remain optimistic about a strong economy in 2025, Berezin stands as the “lone bear,” forecasting a much gloomier outlook. His year-end target for the S&P 500 is 4,450, a significant decline from its current level of 5,738, as per Yahoo Finance. The index opened the year at 5,903 and has since retreated to pre-election levels, signaling potential market challenges ahead.
75% Chance of Recession
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