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Chanakya

Reliance Share Price Target: Will It Break Above Rs. 1,355?

Reliance Levels Today

 

Reliance Options: Technical Dashboard

Technical Indicators

Reliance’s Rs. 1,339.70 reference close stands above its 20-day SMA of Rs. 1,255.03, 50-day SMA of Rs. 1,239.79 and 200-day SMA of Rs. 1,322.78. This supports the improving price structure.

IndicatorReadingInterpretation
RSI70.98Overbought; chasing carries risk
MACD/Signal34.04/21.89Positive momentum
ADX31.14Established directional trend
+DMI/−DMI33.48/15.08Buyers retain advantage
ATRRs. 28.14Meaningful daily volatility
Stochastic %K/%D76.20/77.86Short-term momentum cooling

StochRSI at 100 and Williams %R at minus 5.55 reinforce stretched positioning. Overbought conditions can persist, but increase sensitivity to profit-taking.

Option Chain Analysis

The seven displayed strikes contain call open interest of 77,952, against put open interest of 22,207, giving a partial-chain PCR of approximately 0.285.

This is not the complete expiry PCR. Call-heavy positioning suggests overhead supply but cannot independently predict a decline.

Strong Put Base

The largest displayed put position is at Rs. 1,320, with OI of 5,988. However, OI declined by 34, indicating no fresh support-building there during this snapshot.

Fresh put additions occurred at Rs. 1,330 and Rs. 1,340, increasing by 693 and 429 respectively. Falling premiums alongside rising OI are consistent with put writing, although they do not prove trader intent.

Heavy Call Writing

The Rs. 1,350 call holds the largest displayed call OI at 28,983, with 295 added. The Rs. 1,360 call added 991.

Falling call premiums alongside increasing OI are consistent with writing. Nevertheless, lower implied volatility and time decay also influence premiums. Existing Rs. 1,320 call OI is substantial, but declined.

Market Interpretation

The price trend is bullish, while derivatives indicate resistance. Support-building near Rs. 1,330–1,340 needs to survive a price retest. Pivot levels and option strikes are reference zones, not guaranteed barriers.

Execution Plan

Buy only after a sustained hold above Rs. 1,355–1,358. Retain the proposed Rs. 1,338 stop; objectives remain Rs. 1,365 and Rs. 1,382.

The stop is narrower than daily ATR, increasing whipsaw risk. Size accordingly. Reprice spreads and manage settlement obligations before expiry.

Confidence Meter

Moderate, conditional confidence. Trend strength is favourable; stretched momentum limits entry comfort.

Five FAQs

Is Reliance bullish?
Technically, yes.

Is Reliance overbought?
RSI indicates so.

What confirms buying?
Sustained strength above Rs. 1,355.

Where is support?
Rs. 1,325–1,328.

Is downside impossible?
No. Failed breakouts remain possible.