MCX Gold Technical Dashboard
| Technical Indicator | Current Reading | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| MCX Gold Price | Rs. 1,52,533 approximately | Cautious |
| 5-Day SMA | Rs. 1,47,690 | Above support |
| 10-Day SMA | Rs. 1,48,845 | Positive |
| 20-Day SMA | Rs. 1,52,623 | Immediate trend barrier |
| 50-Day SMA | Rs. 1,58,139 | Trend weak |
| 100-Day SMA | Rs. 1,60,906 | Major resistance |
| Open Interest Change | -5.60% | Long unwinding |
| International Gold | $4,338.61 | Mildly negative |
Gold remains above its five-day and ten-day averages but marginally below the 20-day average. The immediate recovery has paused, while the medium-term structure remains under pressure.
Gold Option Chain Analysis
Call open interest is concentrated at 1,53,000, 1,54,000 and 1,55,000, indicating supply at higher levels. The 1,55,000 strike carries 990 Call contracts, making it the important nearby ceiling.
Put open interest is strongest at 1,50,000, followed by 1,51,000 and 1,52,000. Traders expect support on declines, but upside may remain restricted unless Call writers cover positions.
Strong Put Base
The 1,50,000 Put holds 805 contracts and represents the strongest nearby base. Fresh Put additions at 1,51,000 and 1,52,000 provide cushioning. Sustained trading below 1,50,000 would weaken this support.
Heavy Call Writing
Call additions at 1,53,000 and 1,54,000 indicate resistance. Open interest remains elevated at 1,55,000 and 1,60,000. A rally requires rising volume and Call unwinding to become sustainable.
Market Interpretation
Price falling with declining open interest confirms long unwinding, not fresh short buildup. This reflects profit booking by existing buyers. Consequently, the downside may remain orderly unless price breaks major Put support.
Execution Plan
- Trade only after a confirmed range breakout.
- Use the underlying price for entry confirmation.
- Book partial profit at the first target.
- Trail the remaining position to cost.
- Avoid carrying oversized positions amid macroeconomic uncertainty.
Confidence Meter
Directional confidence: 72% | Bias: Range-bound to cautious | Risk: High
Frequently Asked Questions
1. Is MCX Gold bullish today?
Only above Rs. 1,53,500.
2. What is immediate support?
Rs. 1,51,500 is immediate support.
3. Where is major option support?
The strongest Put base is Rs. 1,50,000.
4. What is the principal resistance?
Rs. 1,55,000 is the major Call barrier.
5. Should traders enter inside the range?
No. Wait for confirmation outside Rs. 1,51,500–1,53,500.