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Early momentum seen – Samco

Dhuhpesh Dhameja, Derivatives Research Analyst, SAMCO Securities

πŸ•— Updated for 21 September 2026 on 19 September 2026 @ 7.00 pm

Derivatives Analysis Report: Nifty and Bank Nifty Outlook

Nifty Extends Recovery, but 23,460 Remains the Key Resistance

Dhupesh Dhameja, Derivatives Research Analyst, SAMCO Securities

Nifty extended its recovery for the third consecutive session, closing 75.80 points, or 0.33%, higher at 23,346.40. The index remains above its immediate support zone of 23,270–23,200, indicating improving short-term stability after the recent sharp decline.

However, the broader Nifty trend remains cautious because the index is still below its declining 10-DEMA near 23,458. Therefore, 23,460 is the first major resistance. A sustained breakout above 23,460 could strengthen the recovery towards 23,590. Failure to reclaim this level may trigger renewed selling pressure.

Is Nifty Showing a Trend Reversal?

Nifty’s momentum indicators are improving but remain weak. RSI has recovered to 33.66 from deeply oversold levels and moved marginally above its RSI average of 32.98. This indicates that bearish momentum is easing.

However, RSI remains below the neutral level of 50. Therefore, the current Nifty rebound should not yet be considered a confirmed trend reversal. Further price confirmation is required.

Nifty Option Chain and Derivatives Data

The derivatives setup has become more supportive, with the put-call ratio, or PCR, at 1.07. Total Put open interest stands at 18.12 crore contracts, compared with Call open interest of 16.08 crore contracts.

Heavy Put concentration at 23,300–23,200 is creating a near-term support base. Call open interest is concentrated at 23,700 and 24,000, creating successive resistance zones. Higher Put positioning provides downside protection, but Call writing above the spot price continues to limit the upside.

India VIX declined 7.36% to 11.39, indicating a meaningful reduction in near-term volatility and supporting the possibility of a more orderly market recovery.

Nifty Support and Resistance Today

The Nifty outlook remains cautiously constructive above 23,270. Fresh aggressive long positions should preferably wait for a sustained breakout above 23,460. Above this level, short covering may accelerate towards 23,590. A break below 23,200 would weaken the recovery structure.

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Bank Nifty Rebounds, but 56,800 Remains the Key Barrier

Bank Nifty rebounded 302.95 points, or 0.54%, to close at 56,358.70. The index recovered from lower levels and reclaimed its immediate support at 56,050.

However, the daily Bank Nifty trend remains cautious because the index continues to trade below its 200-DEMA at 56,786.85. A sustained breakout above this level, followed by 57,027, is required to strengthen the broader technical structure and open the way towards 57,570.

Is Bank Nifty Momentum Improving?

Bank Nifty RSI has risen to 42.75 from recent lows, indicating early momentum improvement. However, it remains below its RSI average of 43.12 and the neutral level of 50.

This suggests that the rebound is gaining strength but has not yet developed into a confirmed bullish trend reversal.

Bank Nifty Option Chain and Derivatives Setup

The derivatives structure is relatively balanced, with PCR at 1.087. Total Put open interest stands at 1.57 crore contracts, compared with Call open interest of 1.63 crore contracts.

Put concentration between 56,000 and 56,500 provides a near-term cushion. Meanwhile, substantial Call open interest between 57,500 and 58,000 creates a broad supply zone. The option-chain structure identifies 56,000 as the key downside trigger and 57,000 as the first major upside hurdle.

Bank Nifty Support and Resistance Today

Bank Nifty can extend its recovery while holding above 56,050. However, aggressive bullish positions should ideally wait for a sustained breakout above 56,800. Failure to hold 56,050 could reopen the downside towards 55,480

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